U-STS-LLM A Unified Spatio-Temporal Steered Large Language Model for Traffic Prediction and Imputation

The efficient operation of modern cellular networks hinges on the accurate analysis of spatio-temporal traffic data. Mastering these patterns is essential for core network functions, chiefly forecasting future load to pre-empt congestion and imputing missing values caused by sensor failures or transmission errors to ensure data continuity. While deeply connected, forecasting and imputation have historically evolved as separate sub-fields. The dominant paradigm, Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs), while effective, are often specialized, computationally intensive, and exhibit limited generalization. Concurrently, adapting large pre-trained language models (LLMs) offers a powerful alternative for sequence modeling, yet existing approaches provide weak structural guidance, leading to unstable convergence and a narrow focus on forecasting. To bridge these gaps, we propose U-STS-LLM, a unified framework built on a spatio-temporally steered LLM. Our core innovation is a Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Attention Bias Generator that synthesizes a persistent functional graph with transient nodal states to explicitly steer the LLM's attention. Coupled with a partially frozen backbone tuned via Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) and a Gated Adaptive Fusion mechanism, the model achieves stable, parameter-efficient adaptation. Trained under a unified multi-task objective, U-STS-LLM learns a holistic data representation. Extensive experiments on real-world cellular datasets demonstrate that U-STS-LLM establishes new state-of-the-art performance in both long-horizon forecasting and high-missing-rate imputation, while maintaining remarkable training efficiency and stability, offering a novel blueprint for harnessing foundation models in structured, non-linguistic domains.

PI-TTA: Physics-Informed Source-Free Test-Time Adaptation for Robust Human Activity Recognition on Mobile Devices

Source-free test-time adaptation (TTA) is appealing for mobile and wearable sensing because it enables on-device personalization from unlabeled test streams without centralizing private data. However, sensor-based human activity recognition (HAR) poses challenges that are less pronounced in standard vision benchmarks: behavioral inertial streams are temporally correlated and often exhibit within-session shifts caused by sensor rotation, placement change, and sampling-rate drift. Under this streaming non-i.i.d. setting, widely used vision-style TTA objectives can become unstable, leading to overconfident errors, representation collapse, and catastrophic forgetting. We propose PI-TTA, a lightweight source-free adaptation framework that stabilizes online updates through three physics-consistent constraints: gravity consistency, short-horizon temporal continuity, and spectral stability. PI-TTA updates the same small parameter subset as strong source-free baselines and incurs only modest overhead, making it suitable for on-device deployment. Experiments on USCHAD, PAMAP2, and mHealth under long-sequence stress tests and factorized shift protocols show that PI-TTA mitigates the severe degradation observed in confidence-driven baselines and preserves stable adaptation under sustained streaming conditions. It improves long-sequence accuracy by up to 9.13% and reduces physical-violation rates by 27.5%, 24.1%, and 45.4% on USCHAD, PAMAP2, and mHealth, respectively. These results demonstrate that physics-informed adaptation can improve accuracy, stability, and deployment reliability for real-world mobile sensing systems.

Policy-Aware Design of Large-Scale Factorial Experiments

Digital firms routinely run many online experiments on shared user populations. When product decisions are compositional, such as combinations of interface elements, flows, messages, or incentives, the number of feasible interventions grows combinatorially, while available traffic remains limited. Overlapping experiments can therefore generate interaction effects that are poorly handled by decentralized A/B testing. We study how to design large-scale factorial experiments when the objective is not to estimate every treatment effect, but to identify a high-performing policy under a fixed experimentation budget. We propose a two-stage design that centralizes overlapping experiments into a single factorial problem and models expected outcomes as a low-rank tensor. In the first stage, the platform samples a subset of intervention combinations, uses tensor completion to infer performance on untested combinations, and eliminates weak factor levels using estimated marginal contributions. In the second stage, it applies sequential halving to the surviving combinations to select a final policy. We establish gap-independent simple-regret bounds and gap-dependent identification guarantees showing that the relevant complexity scales with the degrees of freedom of the low-rank tensor and the separation structure across factor levels, rather than the full factorial size. In an offline evaluation based on a product-bundling problem constructed from 100 million Taobao interactions, the proposed method substantially outperforms one-shot tensor completion and unstructured best-arm benchmarks, especially in low-budget and high-noise settings. These results show how centralized, policy-aware experimentation can make combinatorial product design operationally feasible at platform scale.

DreamerAD: Efficient Reinforcement Learning via Latent World Model for Autonomous Driving

We introduce DreamerAD, the first latent world model framework that enables efficient reinforcement learning for autonomous driving by compressing diffusion sampling from 100 steps to 1 - achieving 80x speedup while maintaining visual interpretability. Training RL policies on real-world driving data incurs prohibitive costs and safety risks. While existing pixel-level diffusion world models enable safe imagination-based training, they suffer from multi-step diffusion inference latency (2s/frame) that prevents high-frequency RL interaction. Our approach leverages denoised latent features from video generation models through three key mechanisms: (1) shortcut forcing that reduces sampling complexity via recursive multi-resolution step compression, (2) an autoregressive dense reward model operating directly on latent representations for fine-grained credit assignment, and (3) Gaussian vocabulary sampling for GRPO that constrains exploration to physically plausible trajectories. DreamerAD achieves 87.7 EPDMS on NavSim v2, establishing state-of-the-art performance and demonstrating that latent-space RL is effective for autonomous driving.

Latent-WAM: Latent World Action Modeling for End-to-End Autonomous Driving

We introduce Latent-WAM, an efficient end-to-end autonomous driving framework that achieves strong trajectory planning through spatially-aware and dynamics-informed latent world representations. Existing world-model-based planners suffer from inadequately compressed representations, limited spatial understanding, and underutilized temporal dynamics, resulting in sub-optimal planning under constrained data and compute budgets. Latent-WAM addresses these limitations with two core modules: a Spatial-Aware Compressive World Encoder (SCWE) that distills geometric knowledge from a foundation model and compresses multi-view images into compact scene tokens via learnable queries, and a Dynamic Latent World Model (DLWM) that employs a causal Transformer to autoregressively predict future world status conditioned on historical visual and motion representations. Extensive experiments on NAVSIM v2 and HUGSIM demonstrate new state-of-the-art results: 89.3 EPDMS on NAVSIM v2 and 28.9 HD-Score on HUGSIM, surpassing the best prior perception-free method by 3.2 EPDMS with significantly less training data and a compact 104M-parameter model.

Cheers: Decoupling Patch Details from Semantic Representations Enables Unified Multimodal Comprehension and Generation

A recent cutting-edge topic in multimodal modeling is to unify visual comprehension and generation within a single model. However, the two tasks demand mismatched decoding regimes and visual representations, making it non-trivial to jointly optimize within a shared feature space. In this work, we present Cheers, a unified multimodal model that decouples patch-level details from semantic representations, thereby stabilizing semantics for multimodal understanding and improving fidelity for image generation via gated detail residuals. Cheers includes three key components: (i) a unified vision tokenizer that encodes and compresses image latent states into semantic tokens for efficient LLM conditioning, (ii) an LLM-based Transformer that unifies autoregressive decoding for text generation and diffusion decoding for image generation, and (iii) a cascaded flow matching head that decodes visual semantics first and then injects semantically gated detail residuals from the vision tokenizer to refine high-frequency content. Experiments on popular benchmarks demonstrate that Cheers matches or surpasses advanced UMMs in both visual understanding and generation. Cheers also achieves 4x token compression, enabling more efficient high-resolution image encoding and generation. Notably, Cheers outperforms the Tar-1.5B on the popular benchmarks GenEval and MMBench, while requiring only 20% of the training cost, indicating effective and efficient (i.e., 4x token compression) unified multimodal modeling. We will release all code and data for future research.

ERNIE 5.0 Technical Report

In this report, we introduce ERNIE 5.0, a natively autoregressive foundation model desinged for unified multimodal understanding and generation across text, image, video, and audio. All modalities are trained from scratch under a unified next-group-of-tokens prediction objective, based on an ultra-sparse mixture-of-experts (MoE) architecture with modality-agnostic expert routing. To address practical challenges in large-scale deployment under diverse resource constraints, ERNIE 5.0 adopts a novel elastic training paradigm. Within a single pre-training run, the model learns a family of sub-models with varying depths, expert capacities, and routing sparsity, enabling flexible trade-offs among performance, model size, and inference latency in memory- or time-constrained scenarios. Moreover, we systematically address the challenges of scaling reinforcement learning to unified foundation models, thereby guaranteeing efficient and stable post-training under ultra-sparse MoE architectures and diverse multimodal settings. Extensive experiments demonstrate that ERNIE 5.0 achieves strong and balanced performance across multiple modalities. To the best of our knowledge, among publicly disclosed models, ERNIE 5.0 represents the first production-scale realization of a trillion-parameter unified autoregressive model that supports both multimodal understanding and generation. To facilitate further research, we present detailed visualizations of modality-agnostic expert routing in the unified model, alongside comprehensive empirical analysis of elastic training, aiming to offer profound insights to the community.

Large Language Model Agents Are Not Always Faithful Self-Evolvers

Self-evolving large language model (LLM) agents continually improve by accumulating and reusing past experience, yet it remains unclear whether they faithfully rely on that experience to guide their behavior. We present the first systematic investigation of experience faithfulness, the causal dependence of an agent's decisions on the experience it is given, in self-evolving LLM agents. Using controlled causal interventions on both raw and condensed forms of experience, we comprehensively evaluate four representative frameworks across 10 LLM backbones and 9 environments. Our analysis uncovers a striking asymmetry: while agents consistently depend on raw experience, they often disregard or misinterpret condensed experience, even when it is the only experience provided. This gap persists across single- and multi-agent configurations and across backbone scales. We trace its underlying causes to three factors: the semantic limitations of condensed content, internal processing biases that suppress experience, and task regimes where pretrained priors already suffice. These findings challenge prevailing assumptions about self-evolving methods and underscore the need for more faithful and reliable approaches to experience integration.

Meta-Cognitive Reinforcement Learning with Self-Doubt and Recovery

Robust reinforcement learning methods typically focus on suppressing unreliable experiences or corrupted rewards, but they lack the ability to reason about the reliability of their own learning process. As a result, such methods often either overreact to noise by becoming overly conservative or fail catastrophically when uncertainty accumulates. In this work, we propose a meta-cognitive reinforcement learning framework that enables an agent to assess, regulate, and recover its learning behavior based on internally estimated reliability signals. The proposed method introduces a meta-trust variable driven by Value Prediction Error Stability (VPES), which modulates learning dynamics via fail-safe regulation and gradual trust recovery. Experiments on continuous-control benchmarks with reward corruption demonstrate that recovery-enabled meta-cognitive control achieves higher average returns and significantly reduces late-stage training failures compared to strong robustness baselines.

SGD with Dependent Data: Optimal Estimation, Regret, and Inference

This work investigates the performance of the final iterate produced by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) under temporally dependent data. We consider two complementary sources of dependence: $(i)$ martingale-type dependence in both the covariate and noise processes, which accommodates non-stationary and non-mixing time series data, and $(ii)$ dependence induced by sequential decision making. Our formulation runs in parallel with classical notions of (local) stationarity and strong mixing, while neither framework fully subsumes the other. Remarkably, SGD is shown to automatically accommodate both independent and dependent information under a broad class of stepsize schedules and exploration rate schemes. Non-asymptotically, we show that SGD simultaneously achieves statistically optimal estimation error and regret, extending and improving existing results. In particular, our tail bounds remain sharp even for potentially infinite horizon $T=+\infty$. Asymptotically, the SGD iterates converge to a Gaussian distribution with only an $O_{\PP}(1/\sqrt{t})$ remainder, demonstrating that the supposed estimation-regret trade-off claimed in prior work can in fact be avoided. We further propose a new ``conic'' approximation of the decision region that allows the covariates to have unbounded support. For online sparse regression, we develop a new SGD-based algorithm that uses only $d$ units of storage and requires $O(d)$ flops per iteration, achieving the long term statistical optimality. Intuitively, each incoming observation contributes to estimation accuracy, while aggregated summary statistics guide support recovery.